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There are several indicators to watch when assessing risk across the financial markets, and today we discuss one of the more important ones. Junk bonds. When junk bonds are performing well and in...
When we previously wrote about the 10-year government bond yield in mid-February, when it was hovering around 3.75%. Elliott Wave analysis led us to believe that it could reach the 5% mark.Less than...
A perfect storm may be brewing for the bond market as a combination of factors drives yields higher.Exhibit A is the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which rose again in yesterday’s trading to...
Fed's actions and projections remain disconnected from each other Powell needs to make bonds attractive in order to keep the US economy going ahead Meanwhile, a bearish steepening has made it even...
There is a rare and powerful trend occurring in bond markets.History shows that if left unchecked, it can cause serious damage to equity markets and the economy. Over the last 3 months, US bond...
When treasury bond yields are rising, bond prices are falling. It’s an inverse relationship.And so it makes sense that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) has fallen sharply...
Stocks are tanking as markets price in higher for longer scenario Meanwhile, bonds have declined for 2 years in a row and are on track for a third bearish year As economic weakness sets in eventually...
Fixed-income investors looking for interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn’t stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023.The upside performance...
The German Bund has finally broken support in the bearish channel and targets the 127% extension of the March 2023 impulsive move higher. Following the ECB last week, and ahead of the FOMC this week,...
The US 10-year Treasury yield continued to trend higher in August, rising further above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three...
The 10-year notes market made a big reversal today following the CPI data. This move could continue following the US retail sales tomorrow as economists are expecting a downtick in US consumer...
Current yields continue to show signs of peaking, based on a broad review of the major asset classes via a set of proxy ETFs. In each of our periodic updates of yields so far this year, the numbers...
Over the last few weeks, bond markets have been on the move: 30-Year Treasury yields have rapidly surged from below 4% to almost 4.50% catching many by surprise.Yet understanding why and what drives...
What spooked the Treasury market on Wednesday, September 6th, 2023, when the 10-year Treasury yield traded up to 4.30% once again?Well the August ’23 services PMI report sure didn’t help,...
Through the above spreadsheet table, readers can take a look at various bond market asset class “annual” returns. A better comparison would be the CPI (annual) against the above...